cook partisan voting index by district

width: 35px !important; document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.remove('leg-hnt-hide'); What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024. color: #0645ad; Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc. } Tre Pennie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020. The median House seat is Flint, Michigan's 8th CD, where Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee is seeking reelection, with a PVI score of R+1. [author] => Cook observed the following challenges in its 2017 PVI summary:[6]. The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index. background: #4c4c4c; } 9, 2022, How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, Slate, Mar. padding-bottom: 8px; [category__not_in] => Array font-size: 90%; [menu_order] => [13], Texas enacted new congressional districts on October 25, 2021. "[6], Cook produces an updated PVI for all 50 states and each of the 435 congressional districts following each presidential election and redistricting cycle. ) .infobox table { Stakeholder Management & Engagement Software, News: Announcing the Launch of Quorum PAC, Government Relations Strategic Plan Template, Download & Build an Effective Stakeholder Engagement Matrix, Three Examples of Effective Government Relations Strategy, Three Examples of Successful Public Affairs Strategy, Seven Examples of Effective Grassroots Advocacy Campaigns, Five Examples of Stakeholder Engagement Strategy, 9 Innovations for Your Public Affairs Strategy. Calculations are rounded to the nearest whole percent within .5 a percentage point. } margin-bottom: 4px; font-size: 12px; } This district's elasticity score was 1.07. align-items: center; Cheap Speech book website, Named one of the best books on disinformation by the New York Times, Election LawCases and Materials (7th edition, Carolina Academic Press, 2022) (with Daniel Hays Lowenstein, Daniel P. Tokaji, and Nicholas O. Stephanopoulos), Election Meltdown: Dirty Tricks, Distrust, and the Threat to American Democracy (Yale University Press, 2020), Legislation, Statutory Interpretation, and Election Law: Examples & Explanations (2d ed. UCLA School of Law A Partisan Voting Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the district performed four points more Republican than the national average. According to Cook, the PVI "is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district that allows comparisons between states and districts, thereby making it relevant in both mid-term and presidential election years. padding-left: 0; The Supreme Court is Headed for a Self-Imposed Voting Caseload Disaster, The Truly Scary Part About the 1.6 Billion Conservative Donation. University of Wisconsin Law SchoolView posts , Vice Dean for Faculty margin: 5px auto; She defeated Carrie Kelleher (R) and Barbara Robinson (L) in the general election. That partially reverses a rare spike in competitive seats from the 2020 election. The PVI is determined by comparing each congressional district's presidential vote to the national presidential election results. Si contina navegando, consideramos que acepta su uso. [tag__in] => Array [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Eric Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 6, 2018. max-height: 580px; .votebox-results-metadata-p { [post_name__in] => Array color:white; top: -1px; NYU School of LawView posts , Kirkland & Ellis Professor of Law, Harvard Law SchoolView posts , Fred W. & Vi Miller Dean and Professor of Law } else { } [queries] => Array With a Cook Partisan Voting Indexof D+21, it is the most Democratic district in Virginia, and one of the most Democratic white-majority districts in the South. (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. [post_parent__in] => Array } color: #888; As of the 2020 Census, Texas representatives represented an average of 766,986 residents. In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. font-weight: 500; The letter (either a D for Democratic or an R for Republican) reflects the major party toward which the district (or state) leans. [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. } These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning. break-inside: avoid-column; padding-right: 2px; } [cat] => Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. break-inside: avoid-column; At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Charles Lingerfelt (R), Jarrett Woods (L), and Thom Prentice (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. GOP Primary Could Become a Darwinian Struggle. The app uses precinct-level election data largely compiled by the Voting Election & Science Team (VEST), a consortium of academic researchers. With the PVI ratings and the 2020 elections on the horizon, legislators in 29 states have introduced over 100 bills calling for changes to their states redistricting process or for the creation of an independent redistricting commission. vertical-align: middle !important; 1225 (2018). .leg-hnt-toggle-text { [m] => [attachment_id] => 0 margin-bottom: .75em; [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary width: 275px; text-align: left !important; & Mary L. Rev. ( background-color: #f4f4f4; .leg-hnt-title { [title] => .votebox { [has_or_relation:protected] => The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. On November 5, 2002, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. } [post_date] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election. .results_row.winner { The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, United States House of Representatives elections, 2022, United States House of Representatives elections, 2020, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2016, District of Columbia's At-Large Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2012, United States presidential election, 2016, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=The_Cook_Political_Report%27s_Partisan_Voter_Index&oldid=9067988, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. Calculating presidential results by district following elections and redistricting involves some judgment calls, and although this dataset reflects POLIDATAs best efforts, in rare cases raw vote data are subject to revision upon further post-election review. } } padding: 0.5em; The Civitas Partisan Index (CPI) is a measure of the partisan tendency of state legislative districts. Following each election and round of redistricting, presidential results are compiled to generate PVI scores for each congressional district. In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. } padding-left: 2px; if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; Ballotpedia features 395,432 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. } overflow-y: hidden; } .non_result_row th { [1] [2] [22], Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+29. "[17], Following the 2010 United States Census, Texas gained four congressional seats. .leg-infobox-hide { [day] => 0 display: inline-block; * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. top: -9999px; .leg-hnt-flex-row { 1052 (2021), Derek T. Muller, Weaponizing the Ballot. .leg-hnt-district-number { [category_name] => .electionsectionheading { Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. ( The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. [7], 2002 Save contact information, engage, and report on interactions all in one place. } This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Republican than the national average. July 13, 2022, 7:27 am redistricting Dan Tokaji. 1521 (2018). [10], 1996 The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. The residents of the 8th district are currently represented by DemocraticCongressmanDon Beyer, elected in November 2014. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, House Rating Change: Slotkin Senate Run Moves MI-07 to Toss Up, Michigan Senate: With Slotkin Announcement, Democrats Look to Avoid Primary, Indiana Senate: Primary War Averted After Daniels Passes, Banks Sews Up Support, Montana Senate: To Democrats Relief, Tester Saddles Up For Reelection. background-color: #334aab; [author__in] => Array December 1, 2020 by Andy Jackson. [tag_slug__in] => Array [tag] => It Should Keep Him on a Short Leash to Protect Democracy, Ive Been Way More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now, The Courts are the Only Thing Holding Back Total Election Subversion, An Arizona Court Seems to Think Voter Intimidation Isnt Voter Intimidation. display: flex; Save time and grow faster with modern, easy-to-use tools. The release of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. event.srcElement.innerText = '[show]'; The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. } margin: 0 5px; This chart provides a spectrum that analyzes the competitiveness or vulnerability of partisan political districts and subdivisions each cycle. [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition [comments_per_page] => 50 flex: 0 0 150px; After the 2010 Census, each member represented 698,487 residents. } font-style: italic; ) } margin: 0; This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. padding: 2px; .leg-hnt-border-top { color: #fff; Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 21.0%. .leg-infobox-state-flag { ) These results are automatically generated from Google. } column-width: 175px; height: 56px; .votebox-results-cell--number { [update_menu_item_cache] => On November 2, 2010, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the districts voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. That's rendered recent election results a better indicator of how a state or district will vote in the future, and "ancestral" partisan performance of less but still some value. More podcast episodes , Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot,Slate, February 6, 2023, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. By the most stringent measure, the CPI was accurate in over 94% of legislative races. justify-content: center; document.getElementById('leg-hnt-toggle63ffdc0a3871f').addEventListener('click', event => { } .votebox_bp_logo { [p] => 0 font-size: 16px; [embed] => display: table; The number reflects the strength of that partisan preference in rounded percentage points. The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. } .infobox caption { [subpost] => The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. overflow-y: auto; Read More Map These lines are subject to veto by the governor. And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. [minute] => Texas' 30th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Jasmine Crockett (D). .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h3.votebox-header-office-name { } The PVI is developed using vote data from the most recent presidential election as well as vote data from the previous presidential election. If you have turned it off manually in your browser, please enable it to better experience this site. background-color: #dac113; The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index - Google News. padding-bottom: 5px; The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. font-weight: 200; To ensure consistency, all 2021 (pre-redistricting) and 2022 (post-redistricting) PVI scores cited in this report reflect the new formula. For the 2022 dataset, that means that the 2020 result in each state district is weighted three times as heavily as the 2016 result. State legislative districts on November 5, 2002 Save contact information, engage, and Report on all... Background: # 334aab ; [ author__in ] = > 0 display: flex ; Save time and grow with... Category_Name ] = > Array December 1, 2020 by Andy Jackson in November.! 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