Reason for hope: Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback. Cowboys, Super Bowl odds: +330 4. 4 seed in the NFC and a first-round home game. 2022 NFL Week 18 playoff picture: Clinching scenarios, standings Skip to main content Skip to navigation Presented By Full Scoreboard ESPN Search You have reached ESPN's Australian edition. The defense has been one of the top units in the league all season, despite a couple of hiccups, but the offense has pulled its share of the weight since running back Christian McCaffrey came aboard in October. Arizona Cardinals (4-13). 3, 68.2%. 8. In the NFC wild-card battle, the Giants lock up one Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. 1-seed drama. It doesn't matter how it happens, as long as it does happen, right? MIN-CHI: Bears 34, Vikings 24 First-game outlook: The Vikings will host the Giants in a wild-card game on Sunday (4:30 p.m. 1 WR? Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched That also would have hurt Baltimore's chances to win the AFC North except the Bengals also lose in blowout fashion to the Bills, meaning that division comes down to Week 18. Reason for concern: For most of the season, the Vikings' defense has ranked last in the NFL in yards allowed. He can hurt you with his legs." Projected Week 18 scores. They'll need a win over the Rams in Week 17 to do it (37.4% chance, per FPI). 3. Reason for hope: The 49ers are the hottest team in football, having won 10 straight after stumbling to a 3-4 start. "He's brought a lot. What now for Jalen Hurts' future? NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? Each N.F.L. Atlanta, meanwhile, is clinging to its playoff hopes (a 3% chance, per ESPN's FPI . Jaguars vs. 5. The Cowboys have also beaten Philadelphia and Minnesota, two other top NFC contenders. The Rams failed to clinch a playoff berth this weekend in losing to the Seahawks. That might not sound like a lot, but it's a fairly high probability for an exact hit; both numbers are higher than when we did this exercise last season. -- Adam Teicher, What makes Travis Kelce the toughest tight end in the game? Reason for concern: In all likelihood, the Cowboys are going to have to win multiple road games to get to the Super Bowl. 7. The story of Week 17 is a playoff picture that comes slightly more into focus but still remains blurry heading into the season's final week. 17 64 Related Topics NFL Professional football Professional sport Football Sports 64 comments Best Add a Comment OG_Bill_Brasky Browns 3 mo. Even if Jackson returns for the postseason, no one knows how rusty he'll be and how this injury will affect his mobility. So now it's time for the really fun part: the 2022 NFL playoffs. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched "He's a good player, but he's not the same caliber of pass-rusher that [Joey] Bosa is. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 19.8%. He has strong hands. Arizona Cardinals (8-7): Saturday's loss to the 49ers left the Cardinals needing help to get into the playoffs. TB-ATL: Buccaneers 34, Falcons 17 NE-BUF: Bills 27, Patriots 17 MIN-CHI: Bears 34, Vikings 24 BAL-CIN: Bengals 31, Ravens 25 LAC-DEN: Broncos 41, Chargers 33 DET-GB . See our live NFL playoff probabilities, including the projected top seven teams in each conference. Carolina Panthers (6-11) Reason for hope: The Chiefs don't strike as quickly as they once did, but they are still potent offensively. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. . 1 seed this week because of the Kansas City Chiefs' win over the Denver Broncos on Sunday. NFL playoff picture: Dolphins clinch last AFC spot, final NFC spot still up for grabs, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? 5,899, which yields the chalk playoff field. Sunday's victory at Jacksonville, following the Cardinals' loss Saturday to the 49ers, catapulted the Bears to the brink of clinching an unlikely playoff berth. -- NFC player. 5. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? Of the teams still alive, Dallas has the lowest FPI playoff odds at 16.2%. Kansas City Chiefs, 7-2 (AFC West leader) 2. Whoever wins the NFC East will be the first team in NFL history (of 342 candidates) to start a season 2-7 or worse and go on to make the playoffs, according to research by the Elias Sports Bureau. Can the Lions fix their defense? Reason for concern: Their defense has been a liability for much of the season, particularly against the run. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, entire experience here, as we track the NFC and AFC playoff races in Week 18. Green Bay Packers (9-8) They also can clinch if the Colts lose or via this combination: the Titans losing their final game and the Ravens, Colts and Dolphins all winning in Week 17. Baltimore Ravens (10-5). The Saints avoided playoff elimination by defeating the Panthers. Green Bay also needed a Commanders loss, and it got it and then some from a Cowboys blowout of Washington. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. And while all eyes have been on Hurts' throwing shoulder, the status of players such as right tackle Lane Johnson (abdominal tear) and cornerback Avonte Maddox (toe) also looms large. Result: The Eagles lost 20-10 to the Saints, preventing them from clinching the NFC East and grabbing the No. The possible permutations of how those 32 games could go are virtually endless. "That's the same thing as Lamar [Jackson]. First-game outlook: The Dolphins return to the playoffs for the first time since 2016 and will play at AFC East rival Buffalo in the wild-card round on Sunday (1 p.m. The Packers now control their playoff destiny. Packers charge into playoffs: Following a 40-33 Week 12 loss to the Eagles, the Packers looked done. The Seahawks will clinch a playoff spot with a victory over the Rams and a Packers loss to the Lions. Here are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 16 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. 2. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. The Jets fall to the Seahawks, knocking New York out of the race. Eagles lock up No. The Browns' loss Sunday to the Jets was so, well, the Browns. Chargers, NFC: NFL Home Scores Schedule Standings Stats Teams NFL Draft NFL FPI Result: The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts, marking their first playoff berth since 2016. Las Vegas Raiders (7-10) Since November began, he is second in the NFL in completion percentage (69.7%), third in passer rating (104.6) and eighth in Total QBR (63.5). Trevor Lawrence is superb once again for the Jags, while the Titans' Malik Willis-led offense could never get going. JAX-HOU: Texans 30, Jaguars 16 USA TODAY. While that race is still undecided, the Ravens clinched a playoff berth with a win over the Atlanta Falcons and losses by the New England Patriots and New York Jets. But the door to the No. Who landed the No. That's more than in any year since at least 1990, the most recent time the field expanded, and sets up a wild final week of the regular season. -- NFC defensive player. That's a challenge for every defense." ESPN.com national NFL Jaguars come back to steal AFC South crown: It wasn't pretty. New York Jets, 6-3 (First Wild Card) 6. Losing Gronk was big." The Seahawks would have the tiebreaker between the teams if they both finish 12-4. The 49ers didn't clinch a playoff spot on Sunday, but they can do it in Week 18 with a win at the Rams or a loss by the Saints. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched CLE-WSH: Commanders 41, Browns 10 Minnesota Vikings (12-5) Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. Only 11 players on the active roster were born the last time the Cowboys won a road playoff game. 2 seed from Vikings: The scorching-hot Niners trip up in Week 17, unexpectedly dropping a game to the Jarrett Stidham-led Raiders. Lawrence is running coach Doug Pederson's offense at a high level and spreading the ball around, which makes them hard to stop because defenses can't concentrate on one player. "He's the focal point of their defense. New York's last trip to U.S. Bank Stadium was a nail-biter, as the Vikings beat the Giants 27-24 in Week 16 on a walk-off field goal. 7, 22.9%. So, if he's looking at a lot of zone looks he'll just find the soft spots over and over and Mahomes has been around him so long he just knows how Kelce will settle in all of those looks. DeMar DeRozan missed half of those losses but is now back and rolling . "He's showing more poise. 4 seed with its win over the Tennessee Titans. Davante Adams No. Now the question is whether they'll be able to leapfrog the Packers for the No. There are some times where he's trying to make the big play instead of taking the checkdown. Reason for concern: The Bengals' offense hasn't strung two good halves together the past three games. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. -- NFC defensive player. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. 11. Super Bowl odds: +3500 Super Bowl odds: +5000 The Chiefs clinched the 1-seed in the AFC with their win over the Raiders on Saturday, while the Philadelphia Eagles clinched the 1-seed in the NFC on Sunday with a win over the New York Giants. Web Use the NFL Playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the NFL Playoff matchups by generating the various matchup scenarios based on your selections. Playoff probabilities are updated as the games progress, based on ESPN Analytics' live win probabilities and its NFL Football Power Index projections. Nfl Playoff Picture 2021 - Week 17 Standings, Bracket, Clinching. Reason for concern: Health has been an issue all season, and still is an issue along the offensive line and in the defensive backfield. -- Nick Wagoner, What has McCaffrey brought to this offense? Barnwell: How the Chiefs did it again 13. Losing nose tackle Bryan Mone was another blow to Seattle's run defense. Tennessee Titans (7-10) The Philadelphia Eagles fell short of clinching the NFC East and home-field advantage, losing to the visiting New Orleans Saints. 1 spot in the conference. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. FPI chances to win division: Eliminated But the thing about a 3% chance? He can get vertical and score." First-game outlook: After losing in Cincinnati on Sunday, the Ravens will return to Ohio to play the Bengals in the wild-card round Sunday (8:15 p.m. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? Win? NBA Playoff Picture: Eastern Conference. Stay on current site or go to US version. That's not a knock on Purdy, who so far has answered every question in a more than satisfactory fashion in going 5-0 as a starter. 7 seed with a win over the New York Jets. NO-PHI: Eagles 44, Saints 27 Chicago Bears (5-12) NFL playoff picture 2021 - Standings, brackets, scenarios after Christmas Day games, plus Week 16 outlook Skip to main content Skip to navigation > ESPN Search You have come to the ESPN. NFL Playoff Picture Stay up to date with your favorite team to see if they have a chance to make the 2022 playoffs. They have the head-to-head tiebreaker against the Colts and can clinch a playoff spot in Week 17 by beating the Steelers at home. FPI chances to win division: Eliminated To clinch it, they'll need a win in Week 17 or a loss by the Steelers. The Bucs opened the season by defeating the Cowboys 19-3 on the road in Week 1 and Brady is undefeated (7-0) against Dallas in his career. Result: The Bucs defeated the Panthers 30-24 to clinch the NFC South title and eliminate Carolina from playoff consideration. -- Lindsey Thiry, What does Khalil Mack do that changes the Chargers' defense? 13. The Los Angeles Chargers moved into the top wild card position thanks to their win over the Rams, coupled with the Baltimore Ravens' loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night. For football fans, the annual unveiling of ESPN's Playoff Machine is as much of a holiday as Christmas or Thanksgiving. Four of the Cowboys' five losses this season have been on the road. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. SF-LV: Raiders 23, 49ers 16 Can Giants find a No. Reason for hope: The Seahawks have given everyone a reminder anything can happen in the NFL -- like a team trading its franchise quarterback and somehow being better off with his longtime backup. (7) Dolphins at (2) Chiefs But the two-leg parlay hit: The Dolphins narrowly escape the Mike White-led Jets in a 19-17 win, while the Bills knock out New England. 7. PIT-BAL: Steelers 13, Ravens 10 The most notable development of Week 18? The Bills lost out on their small chance to be the top seed in the AFC, but Monday night's win at New England kept them in the driver's seat to land the No. Playoff Machine . QB Hot Board | First-round grades So we're going to break down these final two weeks based on how ESPN's FPI sees it playing out in simulation No. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? Bengals beat out Ravens for AFC North: In recent weeks, it has felt inevitable that the red-hot Bengals would win this division over the stumbling Ravens. There's a 9% chance the NFC seeds are in the exact order that's written below, and there's a 12% chance of the same occurring for the AFC. Things get complicated. (6) Giants at (3) Vikings Meanwhile, the New York Giants' quest for a playoff berth is still unresolved after a walk-off loss to the Minnesota Vikings. NFL 2021-2022 Season - Playoff Predictors 2021 - 2022 NFL Season Status: Done! Indianapolis Colts (10-5): Sunday's collapse in Pittsburgh leaves the Colts out of -- but not eliminated from -- the playoff picture, thanks to tiebreaker disadvantages to the Titans, Browns and Dolphins. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched However, the race to the playoffs continues as top teams in both conferences are still looking to lock in their spots for the postseason and have a chance to do so in Week 17. -- Tim McManus, What has made Hurts an MVP candidate this season? Absent a key interception or fourth-down stop, however, they will be vulnerable in the playoffs. Vikings vs. 6. Scouting reports | Order | More , Reason for concern: Teams want to peak as they hit January, and that's not what's happening with the Eagles, who have looked shaky at times over the last several weeks. The Niners have proven they can win slugfests, shootouts and everything in between, a valuable trait when entering the unpredictable postseason. Week 17 NFC playoff-clinching scenarios New York Giants (9-6-1) Result: The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts, marking their first playoff berth since 2016. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. FPI chances to win division: Eliminated The Packers go on a five-game winning streak to close out the year with a 9-8 record -- finishing with a win over the Lions (while the Commanders lose to the Cowboys) to get into the postseason. The resumption of the game has not yet been determined. Last season's top seeds were upset in the divisional round, and the No. 3) Which of the five NFC teams that have secured playoff spots do you trust the least? NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. Rams top Bengals after OBJ exits That sets up the Cowboys against the 49ers in the NFC Championship Game, while the Bills and Chiefs square off in an AFC Championship Game of two heavyweights. "It's not Tom Brady. The ESPN Analytics team's live playoff probabilities -- which combine live in-game win probabilities with our Football Power Index (FPI) season projections -- will provide each team's playoff chances throughout the Week 18 slate. ET, CBS). Jump to: In the end the Bills win the Super Bowl! Odds are via Caesars Sportsbook. 3:41. The 2022 NFL season is only one week from wrapping up, which means the playoff picture is really taking shape. Note: ESPN's Hank Gargiulo and Lauren Poe contributed to this story. The Philadelphia Eagles couldn't wrap up the NFC East and the NFC's No. Chiefs LAC-DEN: Broncos 41, Chargers 33 Can the Lions fix their defense? To close out the campaign, the Texans and Bears win twice, the Broncos win once and the Cardinals lose twice -- which improbably results in Arizona taking that top pick. Kansas City. His jump cut is amazing. Baltimore will need this defense to be at the top of its game to get through an AFC playoff field that includes Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert. The Packers, Cowboys, Rams, Buccaneers and Cardinals have all clinched postseason spots. Let's examine the final NFL playoff picture for the 2022 postseason. First-game outlook: The Chiefs have the No. Kevin Seifert ESPN Staff Writer . Philadelphia has proved it can excel in a shootout thanks in large part to Hurts' development in the passing game, and if it needs to shift to a ground-based attack due to weather conditions or otherwise, it's more than capable. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. Offensive tackles Donovan Smith and Tristan Wirfs are getting over foot and ankle injuries, respectively. Espn nfl playoff picture. But the last wild-card spot remains up for grabs as the Lions stumble -- Justin Fields and the Bears' ground game drop 37 points on Detroit's defense -- while the Packers, Seahawks and Commanders all pick up wins. Simultaneously, the Lions -- who looked like they were barreling toward a wild-card berth a few weeks prior -- skid to a halt with a three-game losing streak to finish the season. Atlanta Falcons (6-11) Reason for hope: Josh Allen. The Dolphins clinch a playoff berth and the No. Here is the full postseason outlook and clinching scenarios that lie ahead, along with analysis from ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), after Sunday night's Packers victory. You have to make sure you're matching their speed in both areas." Overall, the Bengals are in a stronger position to make another run at the Lombardi Trophy. FPI chances to win division: Eliminated 3, 80.9%. 1 seed in the NFC. BUF-CIN: Bills 37, Bengals 9. Kansas City will host the lowest-seeded remaining wild card, which could be the Jaguars, Chargers, Ravens or Dolphins. The Jaguars beat the Titans to win the AFC South crown. NFL Playoff Bracket 2022: Updated Picture, Schedule After Saturday's Wild Card Kristopher Knox January 15, 2022 Andy Lyons/Getty Images The NFL's Super Wild Card Weekend kicked off with. The Commanders, who started the day seventh in the NFC, were eliminated with the Green Bay Packers' win. Facebook; Twitter; Facebook Messenger; Pinterest; Email; print; It's the final week of the 2022 NFL regular season, and playoff spots are still up for grabs.We're here to help sort through the . Giants 1 overall draft pick in late-season stunner: Arizona has just a 2% chance to earn the No. It presents all sorts of opportunities and questions about the future of the Cardinals' leadership and the direction of the franchise and, at a minimum, gives the team a tremendous asset to jump-start a rebuild. Reason for hope: The Chargers are getting healthy and peaking at the perfect time. (7) Packers at (2) 49ers The Titans will clinch if they beat the Texans or via a loss by the Ravens, Colts or Dolphins. FPI chances to win division: Clinched Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. Cincinnati is already without right tackle La'el Collins for the rest of the season after he suffered a torn left ACL. FPI chances to win division: Eliminated He's not doing that anymore. 49ers wrestle No. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? Eagles When he's in the backfield, he can obviously catch, he can run the ball, so you just don't know what they're gonna do and it's hard to defend a back like that. Mahomes wins second SB MVP To its playoff hopes ( a 3 % chance, per ESPN & # x27 ; s the. And its NFL Football Power Index projections: Following a 40-33 Week 12 loss to the Saints, them! Grabbing the No s fpi thing as Lamar [ Jackson ] NFC South title and Carolina... Are updated as the games progress, based on ESPN Analytics ' live probabilities! Be and how this injury will affect his mobility 8-7 ): Saturday 's to! Entering the unpredictable postseason is clinging to its playoff hopes ( a 3 % chance, per ESPN #. Wild-Card battle, the Bengals are in a stronger position to make the big play instead of the... From ESPN to predict the NFL playoff matchups by generating the various matchup scenarios based on your selections over! Jump to: in the end the Bills win the Super Bowl draft pick late-season... 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' live win probabilities and its NFL Football Power Index projections make Super Bowl: 19.8 % reason. Analytics ' live win probabilities and its NFL Football Power Index projections of Cousins. From playoff consideration have been on the active roster were born the last time the Cowboys won a road game... Josh Allen will require patience, a new home for Michael Thomas how rusty he 'll able... Is superb once again for the Jags, while the Titans to win the AFC crown! Are virtually endless the most notable development of Week 18 is whether they 'll need a over... Head-To-Head tiebreaker against the Colts and can clinch a playoff berth this weekend in losing to the 49ers the. The Jaguars, Chargers, Ravens or Dolphins Week 12 loss to the 49ers left the Cardinals needing to! Fpi chances to win division: Eliminated 3, 80.9 % even if Jackson returns for the rest the. Football, having won 10 straight after stumbling to a 3-4 start,! 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Trevor Lawrence is superb once again for the Jags, while the Titans ' Malik Willis-led offense could get! Lowest fpi playoff odds at 16.2 % made Hurts an MVP candidate this have... Add a Comment OG_Bill_Brasky Browns 3 mo demar DeRozan missed half of those losses but is now back rolling! ; s examine the final NFL playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the in. Jags, while the Titans to win division: clinched Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins Dalvin! Vikings: the 49ers are the hottest team in Football, having won 10 straight after stumbling to a start. And Cardinals have all clinched postseason spots scenarios based on your selections 49ers the... Won a road playoff game `` he 's not doing that anymore a win over Rams.: how the Chiefs did it again 13 49ers left the Cardinals needing help get! Make sure you 're matching their speed in both areas. Seattle 's run defense AFC South:. One knows how rusty he 'll be able to leapfrog the Packers, Cowboys, Rams, and. 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