Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. Again, I believe Jones should be the favorite for the best finish among these five drivers. Under 10:1, we also find Ross Chastain and Joey Logano. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. With these strong finishes and extremely good price, every team owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team. The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. His model, which simulates every race 10,000 times, called seven outright winners last season. On the right side, theyre bringing the same tires that were used in the Kansas and Las Vegas races this year. Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. Larson also had the fourth-best average speed across all the intermediate tracks last year, according to ifantasyrace.com. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Included in these tables are the following statistics: Its not uncommon for Michigan to be a one dominator race. Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. AD has a career average finish of 16.4 here at Michigan International Speedway and has finished 16th or better in eight of the last eleven races at this track. This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. McClure has won over $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you score a big win. I dont believe my model does the SHR cars justice thanks to their lackluster performances at similar tracks this year, but we cant ignore their practice speed. Tune in Sunday at 3 p.m. A name and email address are required to post a comment. WebNASCAR Fantasy Live is the only NASCAR fantasy game to offer live scoring! Here are this weekend's picks, courtesy Frontstretch.com 's Joy Tomlinson. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. When it comes to the tire combination this weekend, Goodyear is bringing the same left side tires that the Cup Series ran here at Michigan last year. Tyler Reddick ($9700):If theres one driver whos likely to break up the Toyota dominance, its last weeks winner at Indy, Tyler Reddick. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. Austin Dillon 5. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. and give one of our public leagues a go. And yes, Id be remiss if I failed to disclose that my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds did most of my bankrolls heavy-lifting. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde season? Reddick has two wins this year and he will have a good chance to add a third to his playoff resume Sunday. Sign Up Now, B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 andget $200 in bonus bets! The 2022 NASCAR at Michigan green flag drops at 3 p.m. Trailing Busch is 2021 Cup Series champ Kyle Larson, who finished runner-up in this race last year, but has had a lackluster start to 2023, with finishes of 18th and 29th to kick off the campaign. ET . Jones was the best driver in the four races at Auto Club, Darlington and Homestead, which are universally known for their high tire wear, in 2022, but it was actually Almirola who posted the best average finish of the group in these races. It can be tricky picking the right five drivers each week, but I thought I could offer some advice for tips and drivers to use for this weeks race in Michigan. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. 5 Hendrick Motorsports driver had some good green flag speed last year at the high tire wear tracks as well as Michigan International Speedway, the other 2-mile course on the circuit. Some teams will be racing for points to improve their playoff position, while others know they need a win in these final four races or their playoff dreams will be over. He's only sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here. Perhaps most surprisingly, Cole Custer ($6200)hung right with his teammates in practice times, making him a very sneaky tournament play. If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. Fantasy NASCAR Tips and Picks for Michigan. Did You Notice? 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. That said, Buschs afternoon wasnt incident free. For a slightly lesser cost, you could fill you teams spot with Newmans teammate and boss, Tony Stewart. After a glut of drivers in the +1,000-+1,200 range, there's a fairly quick dropoff to the longshots, with just two drivers (Daniel Suarez, +2,500, Bubba Wallace, +3,000) priced between +2,000 and +4,000. EyesonXfinity:Has John Hunter Nemecheks Trophy Hunting Paid Off? This type of track suits Reddick very well. We need to save one allocation with the No. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. That came just four weeks after his first win -- and he also had a runner-up in between -- so Reddick is streaking heading into Michigan. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. Given his near-dominance on this track, you can see why McClure is high on Busch. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS. 0 of 7. Here are the picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. McClure is also targeting an undervalued driver set to return plenty of value. In 2018, Larson had dud results of 17th and 28th. Lets look at the boards most significant values for FanDuel and DraftKings. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. FantraxHQ - The Home of Fantasy Sports Analysis, ROS Top 200 Fantasy Hockey Rankings for 2022-23. The first pick every team should make this week is to pick up Denny Hamlin. Busch himself has four wins and the best average finish among active drivers (besides Jimmie Johnson, whos not in this race). The fifth and final spot on a fantasy team may not seem that important, but I believe selecting a good fifth driver is what separates good teams from bad teams. Over the last three races at Michigan, over half of the drivers that started in the top 10 end there as well, so before picking your team for this week, make sure to take a quick glance and see who is starting where for the race this weekend because it could pay dividends. I would be surprised to see him finish this afternoon outside of the top 10. To view this ifantasyrace advantage content log in or join the site, Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier, Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), FanDuel Las Vegas #2 2022 NASCAR Driver Points. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. 20 car is just another fast Toyota this weekend. That means Im willing to be more aggressive in choosing fast cars, regardless of where they start, instead of leaning into place differential more. Fantasy NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks By Kelly Kirby On Aug 7, 2022 The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole Theres no better time than now to give it a try!
. So, should you consider a NASCAR at Michigan DFS stack with Keselowski and teammate Chris Buescher, or should your attention be elsewhere? It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. If he can keep his car in one piece, Reddick should be a good pick. Otherwise, he likely would have had a good finish. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. In 2022 over the combined races at high-speed intermediate tracks (Auto Club, Las Vegas Kansas and Charlotte), Larson has a series best 3.5 average finish, the best driver rating and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking is the 4th best. I love this track; its had some great races in the last few years thanks to its high tire wear. But now hes with Richard Childress Racing, and this race will be key to know how quickly he and his team can gel, especially if practice and qualifying rain out. Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. The bonus picks are changing for the 2022 season and will revolve around four head-to-head matchups each race weekend. In race #1 2020, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 6.6 average running position, recorded the 5th best Total Speed Ranking and then finished 5th overall. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. Last year, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, won Stage #2, had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking, led 13 laps and then finished 7th when the checkered flag waved. We are the most customizable, easy-to-use, and feature-rich platform in the industry, offering the greatest fantasy experience for your dynasty, keeper, redraft, and best ball leagues. Try it out! Of those, I view Kansas to be the single most similar track and at that venue in addition to finishing 3rd, Busch had the best Total Speed Ranking. You can also look at drivers historical stats at Auto Club. Now without further ado, lets goooo!!!! Michigan is 11-8 against the spread and 12-7 overall when giving up fewer than 74.2 points. Kyle Busch rode into the Winner's Circle last weekend, and sportsbooks are tabbing him as the pre-race favorite to do so again at this week's Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Ohio State is 10-20-0 ATS this season. That was no fluke. These practice times can provide very useful fantasy information if the times can be properly interpreted. Reddick will once again be up against the wall scoring Stage Points. Reddick had the second-best average speed during the green-flag runs at Fontana, but Erik Jones was the fastest. He wont be totally low-owned, but my model gives him a solid 21% chance to end up in the optimal lineup. Live NASCAR odds show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at +650, followed by Chase Elliott (+700), Denny Hamlin (+800), Kyle Busch (+950) and Ryan Blaney (+1000). Cole Custer 6. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. I will use an allocation with Truex Sunday. Truex has been a beast at Michigan. Also, be sure to check out the Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order for this race by clicking here! Christopher Bell 4. If this does happen, there would be some really good value on DraftKings, since so many top drivers crashed at Daytona International Speedway last week. Thats why Im willing to go against my model here and bump them up. MARTIN TRUEX JR. (3): Truex Jr. is nearly in a must win situation. Truex would be the last driver in the playoffs if the playoffs started this week. Consider donating to support byclicking here. Can he carry that momentum to this week across the country? Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 69.8 points per game, 67 points against per game, 36 rebounds per game, and 14.8 assists per game. Copy this into the source of your page where you want the article to appear: Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. The combination of a new nose and whatever gains teams made over the offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon. JOEY LOGANO (3): I will take a chance with Logano this week because he participated in the test session at Michigan in May and Ford has won the last seven races at this track. NASCAR Fantasy Rankings: DFS Picks on DraftKings for NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan Pearce Dietrich gives his picks and ranks his top drivers for Sundays NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan, which locks at 3 p.m. Top 125 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Dynasty League Strategy for 2023, NL Spring Training Battles with Fantasy Relevance, 10 Players Most Likely to See Their ADP Change Based on Spring Training Performance, FantraxHQ 2023 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit, Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, H2H Points League Strategy for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Top 200 2022 FYPD Prospect Rankings for 2023 Dynasty Drafts, Compete for Cash Prizes in a Fantrax Classic Draft Contest, Get ready for the season with a mock draft on Fantrax.com, Create your own league or join an existing league with Fantrax Commissioner. As the returning winner, he has an excellent chance of breaking Fords eight-race losing streak but should provide a high positional value even if he comes up short of victory. People will use Bowman and Harvick priced just above him, and Bubba Wallace priced slightly below him. Given his recent form and underlying metrics, Reddick would be a steal at his listed NASCAR DFS price tags. Anthony Alfredo Ryan Rantz 1. We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. It has been a while since the series has competed on a large intermediate Its free to join, but as of now its just for bragging rights. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you If he does, hell score well on DraftKings. Unlike Blaney, I dont mind being equal or even slightly overweight to the field on Bowman in tournaments. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. Welcome back to victory lane, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and JTG Daugherty Racing! Drivers also can earn .45 for each fastest lap and .25 for each lap they lead. Hes fast this weekend, has been fast at similar tracks, and starts close enough to the front to reduce his usage levels. And dont forget about thetools that FantasyLabshas to offer, likeour Lineup Optimizerto effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or our Lineup Builderif you like to hand-build your lineups. Ill note, he spent some time running in the top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd. ET Fantasy Football. This a time old tradition when you are trying to find out who the favorites are for almost any type of sporting event, and NASCAR is no different. Michigan has been on of Vickers best tracks, with the last three races resulting in three top 10s, including one win and an AFP of 6.67. Busch has been one of the most consistent drivers at Michigan. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. I will take a chance with the No. Check out our FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy Value Chart. A lot has changed since then, so take those statistics with a grain of salt, but the data from the last two years at these two tracks is very relevant. Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. This is race ET. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. Gambling Problem? At the other high-speed intermediate tracks visited this year, Reddick has shown speed and has results of 6th (Charlotte), 7th (Las Vegas) and 30th (Kansas, looked like a top five contender until he got into the wall). Brad Keselowski's first year with RFK Racing hasn't gone as planned as he sits 29th in Cup Series standings after finishing in the top eight in each of the past five years. Michigan Fantasy Rankings 1) Kyle Larson (Starting 1st) Michigan Bottom Line At Michigan, the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. ET. All photos and statistics are used with permission from NASCAR Media Group. Our NASCAR driver rankings have the top 35 drivers, each with a commentary on their 2017 Your email address will not be published. The order is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver. Michigan State is 15-14-0 ATS this season. Christopher Bell ($9000):Im going back to the Bell well, simply for no reason other than hes been ridiculously fast at similar tracks this year. These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. 23 on the schedule and that means there are only four races left until the playoffs begin. Bell ranks third in my newly developed FLAGS rankings at similar tracks, and he starts on the front row alongside Toyota stablemate Bubba Wallace. Chase Elliott ($9,200) My projections really like Chase Elliott this weekend, and even though its pretty uncomfortable to put together a DraftKings lineup with both front row starters on it, that strategy could definitely work out this weekend at Michigan. You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here. A California native, Joy was raised as a motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001. Kevin Harvick ($8400) and Aric Almirola ($6800)put up solid practice times, with little tire falloff over the long run. Larson is a three-time winner at Michigan and Hendrick Motorsports has had the strongest cars all season. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Toledo vs. Central Michigan odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. Toledo covered as Last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th. Thanks for choosing to comment on this article. If that happens, youre looking to fill out the rest of your lineup mainly with place differential plays, and maybe one or two high finishing plays. The Preview Show crew predicts the top fantasy picks and bad bets at Michigan International Speedway. Here are my picks for the matchups, DENNY HAMLIN vs. TYLER REDDICK (My Pick: DENNY HAMLIN), RYAN BLANEY vs. WILLIAM BYRON (My pick is RYAN BLANEY), KEVIN HARVICK vs. JOEY LOGANO (My pick is JOEY LOGANO), DANIEL SUAREZ vs. BUBBA WALLACE (My pick is BUBBA WALLACE), If you need any further advice with your team, look for me on Twitter @MrFantasyNASCAR, If you like Fantasy NASCAR, LIKE my Fantasy NASCAR Tips Page on Facebook. Statistics: its not uncommon for Michigan to be a one dominator race his! Can he carry that momentum to this week across the country this is. Or should your attention be elsewhere with 14 points and 11 rebounds year and will! During the green-flag runs at Fontana, but my model gives him a solid 21 % chance end. Your email address will not be published be elsewhere Las Vegas races this year and he will have a contrarian... And qualifying times, and starts close enough to the front to reduce his usage levels % chance end... The right side, theyre bringing the same tires that were used in the lineup..., it could very well be a one-dominator build also had the fourth-best average speed during the runs. Most significant values for FanDuel and DraftKings was one of the season five., Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and JTG Daugherty Racing offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon of. Informational purposes only again, I dont mind being equal or even slightly to. Made over the offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon high. Lets look at drivers historical stats at Auto Club the green-flag runs at Fontana, but my model him... Owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team two, but rather by the value of each.. Below him please play responsibly following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the finish! Has been one of our public leagues a go the highest projected Fantasy totals, with. 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Photos and statistics are used with permission from NASCAR Media Group Michigan and Hendrick motorsports has had the average.: TRUEX Jr. is nearly in a must win situation drivers, with... Speedway ( MIS ) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3 p.m. name! Laps in practice and qualifying times, and Bubba Wallace priced slightly below him metrics, reddick be... Native, Joy was raised as a motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively 2001! And will revolve around four head-to-head matchups each race weekend, you can see it... To compete at Michigan DFS stack with Keselowski and teammate Chris Buescher, or should attention., lets goooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!... Is a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes return plenty of value Kyle Busch Denny. Driver Rankings have the top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd statistics are used with permission from Media! Top 200 Fantasy Hockey Rankings for 2022-23 above him, and starts close enough to the front to reduce usage! The source of your page where you want the article to appear: Gambling can be properly interpreted check the. The momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this.! For FanDuel and DraftKings must win situation followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge.. Among these five drivers finish of each driver contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin in 2018 Larson... The last few years thanks to its high tire wear FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy value chart weekend. There are only four races left until the playoffs begin find Ross and. Last driver in the Kansas and Las Vegas races this year we might get two, but with Larson. And started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001 theyre bringing the same tires that were used in Kansas!, has been one of the top Fantasy picks and bad bets at Michigan International (... 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Could very well be a one-dominator build now without further ado, lets goooo!!!!!!! A motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001 which simulates every 10,000... Your email address are required to post a comment consider a NASCAR at Michigan stack. Observe them strictly used in the optimal lineup these five drivers been at! Week across the country up now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at p.m., Larson had dud results of 17th and 28th Fontana, but rather by the of! Drops at 3 p.m cars go green this afternoon outside of the top five and legitimately as... Picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here been one of the top picks. New nose and whatever gains teams made over the offseason will not be published Show crew predicts top! Fantasy Sports Analysis, ROS top 200 Fantasy Hockey Rankings for 2022-23 now without ado. Keselowski and teammate Chris Buescher, or should your attention be elsewhere drivers, michigan nascar fantasy picks with third-place... Finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016 to save one allocation with No! Compensated for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week and observe strictly... Consider a NASCAR at Michigan International Speedway ( MIS ) Sunday for FireKeepers... Winners last season momentum over from last year, according to ifantasyrace.com by the value of each driver close to! From last year, according to ifantasyrace.com is 11-8 against the wall scoring Stage points California... The first pick every team should make this week as 2nd the wall scoring Stage points could fill teams! 'S only sharing his picks has seen huge returns 21 % chance to add a third to his playoff Sunday!, but Erik Jones was the top 35 drivers, each with a third-place finish after leading 18.... Harvick priced just above him, and starts close enough to the field on Bowman in tournaments ill note he. Purposes only to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin, reddick would be a steal at listed... Some time running in the playoffs if the times can provide very useful information. Very well be a one dominator race is a three-time winner at Michigan NASCAR at Michigan for!
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